Ecological aspects of historical and contemporary Swedish and Danish mortality
Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapport › Bidrag til bog/antologi › Forskning
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Ecological aspects of historical and contemporary Swedish and Danish mortality. / Hansen, Hans Oluf.
Symposium i Anvendt Statistik 2014. red. / Peter Linde. Kbh. : Københavns Universitet og Danmarks Statistik, 2014. s. 131-143.Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapport › Bidrag til bog/antologi › Forskning
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TY - CHAP
T1 - Ecological aspects of historical and contemporary Swedish and Danish mortality
AU - Hansen, Hans Oluf
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - The quality of professional recording and processing of life data untold, Denmark ranks low in international comparisons of expected length of life at birth in the EEC/EU and among first-world countries. For example, cross-sectional life expectancy has been higher in Sweden than in Denmark since the early 1960s to now. This has been a blow to the national pride. Is the better contemporary Swedish life expectancy associated with selection spurred by different timing of the modern Swedish and Danish long term decline of mortality? Or could it be rooted in more expedient Swedish behavior and better preventive and curative measures introduced in the second half of the twentieth century? Hansen (2013) proposed a multivariate hazard model aiming at separating ecological factors in terms of endogenous biological from exogenous effects in human mortality. He explored some of its analytic potentials by fitting the model to empirical cohort mortality of Swedish males born in 1760 and 1900 using stochastic micro-simulation. The approach and not a few of the results question conventional demographic wisdom and inference based on over-simplifying statistical modeling in the life sciences.This study extends Hansen (2013) to comparative demographic analysis of historical, contemporary and projected of mortality in Sweden and Denmark as compiled and predicted by Statistics Sweden and DREAM/Statistics Denmark and their predecessors.
AB - The quality of professional recording and processing of life data untold, Denmark ranks low in international comparisons of expected length of life at birth in the EEC/EU and among first-world countries. For example, cross-sectional life expectancy has been higher in Sweden than in Denmark since the early 1960s to now. This has been a blow to the national pride. Is the better contemporary Swedish life expectancy associated with selection spurred by different timing of the modern Swedish and Danish long term decline of mortality? Or could it be rooted in more expedient Swedish behavior and better preventive and curative measures introduced in the second half of the twentieth century? Hansen (2013) proposed a multivariate hazard model aiming at separating ecological factors in terms of endogenous biological from exogenous effects in human mortality. He explored some of its analytic potentials by fitting the model to empirical cohort mortality of Swedish males born in 1760 and 1900 using stochastic micro-simulation. The approach and not a few of the results question conventional demographic wisdom and inference based on over-simplifying statistical modeling in the life sciences.This study extends Hansen (2013) to comparative demographic analysis of historical, contemporary and projected of mortality in Sweden and Denmark as compiled and predicted by Statistics Sweden and DREAM/Statistics Denmark and their predecessors.
KW - Faculty of Social Sciences
KW - demografi
KW - stokastisk mikrosimulation
KW - dødelighed
KW - Sverige
KW - Danmark
M3 - Book chapter
SN - 978-87-501-2111-4
SP - 131
EP - 143
BT - Symposium i Anvendt Statistik 2014
A2 - Linde, Peter
PB - Københavns Universitet og Danmarks Statistik
CY - Kbh.
T2 - Symposium i Anvendt Statistik
Y2 - 27 January 2014 through 29 January 2014
ER -
ID: 98955637